What's a presidential election without making an on-the-record guess? Okay, let's play:
Obama wins all the blue states and the following hard-fought or marginal ones: Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada and North Dakota. Losing only Indiana, Montana and Georgia.
Total electoral votes: 367.
National margin of victory: nine points, 53-44.
There it is, and I promise not to make ex post facto alterations even under pain of mortification.