Monday 3 June 2024

Cheap Thrills

 


The manifest delight among the anti-Trump camp over his conviction in the hooker payoff case will be short-lived.

Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg’s pursuit of Trump on the flimsy case of felonious falsification of business records in furtherance of some vaguely defined higher crime has produced a frisson of satisfaction among assorted Democrats, liberals, and those who find the man appalling for a variety of good reasons. But it will undermine the case against him that really matters—his conspiracy to steal the election of 2020.

Among the people I have seen send cheers heavenward at the jury’s multiple guilty verdicts, remarkably few—none in fact—can explain to me the details of the accusations or the legal reasoning behind condemning him 34 times for essentially a single episode. To all appearances, they don’t really care. He’s guilty, he's a felon, and that’s that.

His supporters, equally removed from or uninterested in the tedious minutiae of the case, think he’s being prosecuting for paying off a hooker, which they don’t see as a crime (correctly) and are easily persuaded that he’s being singled out in a political vendetta. The convoluted reasoning that convinced a jury to convict escapes them, as well it might. I’ve read a lot about it, and it escapes me.

As for criminalized sex, Bill Clinton pretended not to know where his cigar ended up, and Republicans made endless damp hay out of that. In the end, nobody really cared.

Yeah, I know, it’s not the sex per se but Trump’s signature on documents that called the payoff legal fees—the sort of thing that Hillary’s campaign did to obscure its role in the origins of the Russiagate hoax.

As CNN summarized, “The FEC concluded that the Clinton campaign and DNC misreported the money that funded the [Steele] dossier, masking it as ‘legal services’ and ‘legal and compliance consulting’ instead of opposition research.” The DNC eventually coughed up $113,000 in fines, but no one faced prosecution over it. Given the number of documents signed by various DNC officials covering up the oppo research as payments to lawyers, the Clintons’ allies would certainly be looking at hundreds of felonies under the Bragg jurisprudence.

But the hundred grand was worth every penny as the Steele dossier, secretly funded by the Clinton campaign, led to years of propaganda over Trump’s alleged “back channel” to Moscow and “Russian interference” in the 2016 election, fact-free concepts most Democrats still revere to this day, their team’s happy BlueAnon conspiracy.

The Clintons got off Scot-free after years of peddling these far more consequential falsehoods, utilizing the full power of the surveillance state to do so. Do we think dumb middle Americans didn’t notice?

Unfortunately, a whole slew of Trumpians also think that some combination of phony absentee ballots and computerized vote manipulation caused Trump to lose several key swing states in 2020, that he really won, and that any attempt to disprove their paranoid certainties is bogus, biased, partisan trickery.

Given the partisan trickery involved in the Bragg prosecution, they have a point. When the Dem-leaning establishment gets around to their criminal cases against Trump and his minions for things like organizing fake slates of Republican electors for VP Pence to accept as valid, egging on the Georgia secretary of state to “find” Trump another 18,000 votes and flip the state, and encouraging his loyal yahoos to break into the Capitol to intimidate congress members into voting their way, the whole thing will fall flat. It will look like yet another lame excuse to “get” Donald Trump and prevent him from staging a comeback campaign.

Trump deeply discredited himself with the post-vote events of 2020-21, and a disciplined political and legal team could have pursued Trump for trashing our electoral process. He and his sleazebag lawyers did plenty, and there was no need to make shit up.

Instead, they put on a series of judicial spectacles so that they can label Trump a felon during the campaign and thereby can keep their jobs for another four years.

Ever since Trump sailed down the escalator to announce his bid in 2016, we have relentlessly heard how his candidacy was a joke, how the “walls are closing in” on his fake presidency, and how his comeback for a second term is doomed. The chorus of imminent victory over Trumpism is now about as credible as the Ukrainian vow to retake Crimea.

Any American not living in a cave knows that there is plenty of felonious behavior taking place around us, especially at the top of our get-it-while-you-can political establishment. A few of us even think things like instituting a torture regime, sending off troops to conquer foreign countries for no reason, smashing the First, Fourth, and Fifth Amendments to bits, and presiding over a genocidal slaughter of defenseless civilians are also arguably criminal acts. Slamming a political enemy over crimes of the willie while ignoring the mountainous slurry of sleaze threatening to drown our fragile polity is a good way to discredit everything for which we once held a modicum of respect.


Wednesday 15 May 2024

Why I have been silent — and why now I won’t shut up

 


A Cold War era joke went like this: A Russian from the USSR sitting next to an American on a flight to New York is asked a question about why he is visiting the United States. He answers that he has come to study American expertise in propaganda.

“What propaganda?” asks the puzzled passenger.

“Exactly,” concludes the Russian.

We have witnessed a magisterial deployment of narrative management over recent months and years that is worthy of study by future generations. In fact, it is the sole triumph notched by our otherwise mediocre political class in the entire course of the European war that they sought, confident of victory, and got. The populace bought the official line without even realizing that it had made a purchase. Edward Bernays would be proud.

However, the sheen on this bright object has become seriously dulled to the point where dissident voices have begun to break through. They were always present, but now they have infiltrated the uniparty, mostly through the populist/extremist/MAGA (choose one) wing of the GOP. There was never a possibility that war funding would get bottled up in a Congress that has long been an affiliate of the MICIMATT complex*. But remarkably, a subset of troop-saluting, flagpin-wearing, war-cheering Republicans resisted the idea of tossing another $60 billion into the bottomless Ukrainian pit as they noticed that the war is lost and that its partisans have no strategy for success or exit.

With this window into a fuller debate now wedged open (supercharged by the appalling crimes occurring in Gaza) and major changes looming, the environment for previously unwelcome questions is more benign. We can observe, speculate, and attempt to analyze without inevitably having to face abuse and name-calling. The campuses are again hotbeds of dissent and rejection of the Received Wisdom descending from above.

Furthermore, we are entering an electoral season during which we are theoretically invited to engage in debate about our proper course as a nation. Despite the crudity of what passes for political discourse on most issues of importance, we may still manage to share some thoughts and feelings about current events without promptly turning purple.

No doubt there will be lingering accusations that dissent is attributable to Putin-worshipping Russophilia. That’s an old story. In the Vietnam war days, we were called socialistic, drug-addled hippies too cowardly to “fight for our country.” Before that, MLK and his followers were “outside agitators” (a phrase making a remarkable comeback), who had set out to disturb the amicable social relations enjoyed by all in the Jim Crow South. Over Gaza, objection to genocide is painted as resurgent antisemitism, often by the same neo-Confederates indignant over discussions of American slavery in the classroom.

I think there is—or soon will be—considerable appetite for outsider views on our nation’s rapidly changing place in the world. It opens up all sorts of opportunities for useful dialogue, and I am, at long last, feeling like participating in it once again.

*Military-Industrial-Congressional-Intelligence-Media-Academia-Think Tank complex, h/t former CIA analyst Ray McGovern of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)